These days, virtually everyone agrees that economies are a mess in the United States, Europe and much of the rest of the world.
On October 25, the Conference Board reported that sentiment among
U.S. consumers had sunk to lows not seen since the height of the
recession. A “super-committee” of 12 members of Congress is at
loggerheads, with only weeks to find ways to slash U.S. budget deficits
before Draconian cuts kick in automatically. And in Europe, governments
are wrestling over how to deal with the debt crisis in Greece and other
countries.
Are things as bad as they seem?
Unfortunately, they are, say three Wharton faculty members who
study economics and financial markets. At a recent presentation before
Wharton board members, Franklin Allen, Richard Marston and Kent Smetters warned
that a true recovery could be some time off, and that conditions could
get worse before they get better. (For more about the challenges facing
the eurozone, check out this video interview with Allen and Wharton management professor Mauro Guillen.)
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